West Virginia
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
154  Allison Lasnicki SR 20:15
178  Sarah Martinelli SR 20:19
265  Kelly Williams SO 20:32
292  Jillian Forsey FR 20:36
440  Savanna Plombon JR 20:51
584  Amy Cashin FR 21:05
605  Paige Szabat FR 21:06
720  Megan Yuan SO 21:14
918  Sydney Scott SO 21:28
1,702  Peyton Hampson FR 22:16
2,054  Sarah McCauley SO 22:39
2,062  Allison Pettit SR 22:40
2,149  Lydia Martinelli JR 22:45
2,722  Chelsea Jarvis SR 23:25
National Rank #37 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #3 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 44.4%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.6%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 93.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Allison Lasnicki Sarah Martinelli Kelly Williams Jillian Forsey Savanna Plombon Amy Cashin Paige Szabat Megan Yuan Sydney Scott Peyton Hampson Sarah McCauley
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 765 20:15 20:07 20:47 20:35 20:53 21:31
Penn State National 10/18 945 20:40 20:33 20:34 20:57 21:28 21:59 22:39
Big 12 Championships 11/02 905 20:08 20:54 20:55 20:47 21:12 20:57 21:42 21:28 22:39
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 889 20:37 20:36 20:40 20:41 21:22 21:20 20:52
NCAA Championship 11/23 777 20:13 20:19 20:26 21:00 20:51 20:53 21:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 44.4% 25.5 614 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.5 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.8
Region Championship 100% 3.8 112 0.3 9.2 35.5 30.6 17.7 5.3 1.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allison Lasnicki 75.8% 120.8 0.0
Sarah Martinelli 66.8% 129.8
Kelly Williams 48.7% 162.8
Jillian Forsey 46.0% 173.2
Savanna Plombon 44.4% 207.0
Amy Cashin 44.4% 229.9
Paige Szabat 44.4% 231.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allison Lasnicki 12.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.4 4.2 5.4 5.9 7.4 7.9 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.3 3.0 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.1
Sarah Martinelli 14.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.5 5.4 5.7 6.1 6.7 6.3 6.7 5.9 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.4 3.8 2.7 2.8 2.1 1.8
Kelly Williams 21.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.9 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.8 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.9 5.0 5.4 4.7 5.0 4.8
Jillian Forsey 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.2 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.6 4.2 5.1 5.3 5.7 4.8 5.1
Savanna Plombon 35.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.0
Amy Cashin 49.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7
Paige Szabat 52.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 9.2% 100.0% 9.2 9.2 2
3 35.5% 63.2% 0.3 3.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.9 0.1 13.1 22.4 3
4 30.6% 38.6% 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 18.8 11.8 4
5 17.7% 3.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 17.1 0.6 5
6 5.3% 0.4% 0.0 5.3 0.0 6
7 1.3% 1.3 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 44.4% 0.3 9.2 0.3 3.1 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.1 3.0 0.7 55.6 9.5 34.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0